[b]forex
New week yellow: The trend of reducing the gameSamson greets everyone!
The downward trend in prices continues at the beginning of the new week. Currently, at the opening of the week, precious metals are trading around $1938. There are no new developments in the tense situation in the Middle East, and the USD continues to strengthen. The Federal Reserve has not clearly determined the possibility of an interest rate hike, which negatively affects the price of gold.
On the 4-hour chart, Gold is showing signs of a reversal and is trading below two downward trend channels. Therefore, the downward trend is playing a favorable role in the market this week. The expected support level for this decline is $1915.
Gold prioritizes short sellingSamson greets everyone!
Gold prices today are still being negatively impacted in the market as the US Dollar Index, which measures the fluctuation of the greenback against six major currencies, is at 105.685 points (a decrease of 0.09%). The "hawkish" signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell on Friday have weighed down gold, as this precious metal is currently lacking supportive factors.
The downward trend continues to serve as an opportunity for short-selling traders. There may be a slight recovery, but it will only play a role as a corrective trend because selling gold remains the top priority strategy in the current situation.
Gold continues to decline?In the short term and based on the 4-hour XAU/USD chart, we can observe that the bullish side is once again testing the level of 1954 USD. However, a retreat at the level of 1953 USD would push the gold price to seek the resistance level of 1960 USD once again before further decline is expected at the level of 1945 USD.
Gold left 2000 USD again. What happens next?Today, the price of gold continues to move away from the $2,000 range, which it has been trading around since the beginning of the week. Currently, the precious metal is trading around $1,951. Here are some important pieces of information:
Factors contributing to the decline in gold prices:
- The current operating interest rate in the US is at its highest level in 22 years, at 5.25% - 5.5%.
- Another reason for the decrease in gold prices is the sharp drop in oil, which is closely related to gold. The price of WTI crude oil has fallen to $77 per barrel.
Despite the increase in the value of the US dollar, precious metals still attract the attention of major investors.
Technical analysis:
As predicted by Samson yesterday, gold has dropped below the key support level of $1,950 and has shown slight signs of recovery from this level at the start of today's trading session. However, the overall trend is still unclear. Gold needs to maintain its current support level in order to potentially return to $1,975. On the other hand, breaking the current support level could lead to a further decline towards the next support level at $1,933.
Gold price consolidated near the lowest level in three weeksSamson, hello everyone!
Currently, Gold (XAU/USD) continues its efforts to achieve any meaningful recovery in European trading session, currently trading at $1949. Some officials from the Federal Reserve this week have given mixed signals about the future path of interest rate hikes, which has led to money flowing out of the yellow metal, resulting in no profit since the beginning of this week. Furthermore, investors now seem less concerned about further escalation in the Israel-Hamas conflict. This is considered another factor contributing to the erosion of demand for safe-haven precious metals.
Expectations of continued decrease in US Treasury bond yields have weakened the US Dollar (USD). Additionally, market caution, along with China's economic difficulties, is believed to have somewhat supported precious metals and limited their downside. Traders are now awaiting the release of the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further motivation ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech.
GBPUSD ends the price increaseThe GBP/USD pair has entered a phase of decline and is oscillating within a narrow range around the 1.2220-1.2225 area.
The US Dollar (USD) managed to maintain its upward momentum overnight, inspired by comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which turned out to be the main factor acting as resistance to the GBP/USD pair. On the other hand, the British Pound (GBP) is weighed down by bleak economic prospects in the UK and increasing expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will soon begin cutting interest rates, serving as a psychological arrow for investors to sell off the GBPUSD pair.
On the chart, this currency pair has surpassed the support area at 1.225, and a downward correction could bring the pair back to lower levels along the expected trendline at around 1.214 after a short-term price increase adjustment.
EURUSD weekend, long -term analysisHello everyone!
EUR/USD is facing downward pressure and has dropped below 1.0700 during Thursday's trading session in the US. The currency pair remained relatively quiet at the start of Friday, while technical prospects indicate a slight downward trend.
From the 4-hour chart, we can observe that EUR/USD has extended its upward trend, but a completed 5-wave Elliott pattern suggests a potential price decline followed by an expected price rebound.
BTCUSDT increases, a profit tap will take placeSamson greets everyone!
Creating an Elliott Wave model has significantly boosted the price of the product. At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency market is trading below the resistance level of $37,960. The upward trend is strong as it is consolidated at a high level with stable trading activity on the 2-hour time frame.
Therefore, it would not be surprising if this price increase reaches $40,000. What are your thoughts on this matter? Do you agree with me?
EURUSD: Is there still motivation to increase prices?The EUR/USD pair is extending its sideways consolidation trend in Tuesday's trading session and is trading below the 1.070 level. However, the price is still attempting to hold above the 1.0700 level and is dependent on the price dynamics of the US Dollar (USD).
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a basket of currencies, has rebounded from nearly an 8-week low overnight and turned out to be a key resistance factor for the EUR/USD pair. Officials from the Federal Reserve have provided mixed signals about the future interest rate hike path, leading to an increase in US Treasury bond yields on Monday and prompting some short-term positioning in USD.
On the 4-hour chart analysis: EUR/USD has just surpassed the resistance at 1.068 and, according to price action principles, is currently in the process of retesting the previous breakout zone and testing the EMA line. If favorable, EUR/USD may continue to find support at this level and further develop. On the other hand, breaking below the current support level could push EUR/USD back to a lower figure estimated at 1.060.
GBP/USD : The pound continues to slipDear friends,
Currently, the British Pound (GBP) is stuck in a narrow range as investors seem reluctant to establish new positions before the release of the UK's third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which is scheduled for Friday at 07:00 GMT. The GBP/USD pair is still struggling as the Q3 GDP report will shape the monetary policy outlook for the Bank of England (BoE) in December.
From the 4-hour chart, we can see that the price has broken out of the upward channel, resulting in a significant price increase. At the time of writing, the price is trading around 1.2272, after retreating from 1.2430. Therefore, it is likely that GBP/USD will continue to move lower in the short term during this weekend session.
What is the last gold price of the week's trading session?Dear friends, Gold has put an end to its three-day downward trend. The escalating political tensions in the Middle East have increased the demand for safe haven assets like gold, despite the higher interest rates on US Treasury bonds. The XAU/USD price is currently trading around $1,958, showing a 0.03% increase for the day.
According to previous analysis, the current price of the precious metal is hovering around $1,960 and receiving support from the key level of $1,950. This next recovery phase, also known as the corrective wave in Dow Theory.
Support levels: $1,945.20, $1,933.20, $1,923.10
Resistance levels: $1,965.30, $1,978.30, $1,989.00
BTCUSDT increased sharply ??BTC has gradually been trading upwards since a significant move in late October. As seen on this chart, the parallel price channel A is still functioning well, breaking out of the port and maintaining a strong upward trend above $32,000 and stabilizing around $35,000 on the weekly timeframe.
In the long run, BTC is expected to experience strong growth, especially in the context of unstable economy, making it a viable alternative solution for investors. The expectation for a rise to $51,100 is high. As long as it holds steady above the mentioned support levels, this expectation is entirely plausible.
Gold price tries to keep on the lowest level in two weeksHello everyone, Gold (XAU/USD) continues to decline for the third consecutive day on Wednesday, currently trading at $1966 and losing 0.12% for the day. However, the precious metal is trying to hold above the two-week low around the $1957-$1956 area touched on Tuesday as traders await clearer guidance on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path before making new bets.
Amid the risk of significant events, the US Dollar (USD) is trying to maintain a recovery from its lowest level since September 20 reached on Monday, which is believed to be putting some pressure on the price of Gold. This indicates that the overall trend in the stock market is more subdued, along with increasing concerns about worsening economic conditions in China, which may act as a favorable driving force and limit losses for XAU/USD as a safe haven.
GBPUSD: Reduce below 1,2300 when the US dollar stronger!Hello everyone, after a significant breakthrough last week, GBPUSD is currently undergoing corrective trends and showing clear short-term bearishness on the 1-hour chart. The currency pair is trading at the level of 1.229 and has lost 0.06% during the day.
The GBP/USD exchange rate depicts a bearish trend in the near future after failing to break the 1.2400 level. As a result, the retracement has surpassed the previous cycle's high of 1.2337, opening up opportunities for deeper losses. Buyers need to hold the price above the highest level on October 24th, which is 1.2288, if they want to maintain hopes of higher prices. Otherwise, this currency pair will continue to extend its losses, with sellers targeting 1.2069, the lowest level on October 26th.
GBPUSD: Breakthrough transaction stepsAfter a quiet Asian trading session, GBP/USD regained momentum and reached its highest level in 7 weeks at 1.2400 on Monday. The currency pair has transitioned into an overbought state from a technical standpoint, but buyers may still be interested in the possibility of 1.2400 remaining as support.
The US unemployment rate rose to 3.9% in October from 3.8% in September, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 150,000, which was lower than expectations. The US dollar (USD) continued to weaken against its major counterparts following the October employment report, and GBP/USD saw an impressive increase before the end of the week.
Gold price today: Reduce shock?Samson, Hello every one!
The gold price did not surpass the resistance level of $1,990/ounce last night and had to decline. As of 6:00 AM on November 7th, today's gold price was trading at $1,977, a decrease of $8 compared to the previous opening price, and it has continued to decline to $1,970 at the time of writing.
In this context, the unexpected increase in the USD Index from 104 points to 105 points has caused the gold price to decline. This has led to the strengthening of the USD against six other major currencies, including the Euro, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, and CHF.
The rise in the 10-year US bond yield to 4.64% per year has motivated many people to invest in bonds. As a result, the flow of money into precious metals has been restricted, making them less attractive and causing a sudden decrease in their prices.
Outlook and trend analysis:
Gold is expected to continue declining with a projected decrease to $1,953 before any motivating factors drive the price back up.
What are your thoughts on this matter?